Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 3198 · BWI → SLC
departs 9:20 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 4,400 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.10 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.