WN 3221 · OGG → LAS

took off 8:49 PM HT · landed 4:39 AM PT (scheduled 8:38 PM HT → 5:06 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3221 · OGG → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?