Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 322
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 322 · BNA → ECP
departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 6:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/3
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
4pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.43 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.