Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 3232 · BWI → ATL
departs 5:10 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 4,400 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.09 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 0.75 mi
Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.