WN 334 · AUS → VPS

took off 11:35 AM CT · landed 1:01 PM CT (scheduled 11:22 AM CT → 1:26 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to VPS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

VPS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 334 · AUS → VPS

Odds over time

How late did it get to VPS?