Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 345
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 345 · AUS → MCI
departs 3:55 PM CT · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 20%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.13 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.