Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3483 LANDED 11:37 AM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 3483 · VPS → STL

took off 10:11 AM CT · landed 11:37 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.0 in of rain forecast at VPS that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ 9am departures from VPS are usually not late

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

VPS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.18 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3483 · VPS → STL

Odds over time