Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3556 LANDED 1:57 PM ET, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 3556 · BUF → SRQ

took off 11:30 AM ET · landed 1:57 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are often late

↑ SRQ is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3556 · BUF → SRQ

Odds over time