Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3618
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 3618 · PNS → MCI
departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.93 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.