Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 365
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 365 · DAL → SFO
departs 8:10 AM CT · arrives 9:45 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↓
8am departures from DAL are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.48 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.