Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3688
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 3688 · RSW → DAL
departs 12:45 PM ET · arrives 2:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.