Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3839
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 3839 · PNS → DAL
departs 3:20 PM CT · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
3pm departures from PNS are often late
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.08 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.