Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3935 LANDED 4:53 PM CT, ~24 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 3935 · SFO → BNA

took off 11:03 AM PT · landed 4:53 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3935 · SFO → BNA

Odds over time