WN 3936 · SFO → DAL

took off · landed 6:24 PM CT (scheduled 1:06 PM PT → 6:39 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from SFO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3936 · SFO → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?