WN 406 · BNA → CVG

took off 1:58 PM CT · landed 3:41 PM ET (scheduled 12:09 PM CT → 2:29 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CVG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 406 · BNA → CVG

Odds over time

How late did it get to CVG?