Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 408 · AUS → STL
departs 7:15 AM CT · arrives 9:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/1 17%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 4%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.21 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.