Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 416
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 416 · BDL → DAL
departs 12:10 PM ET · arrives 2:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.