WN 4195 · HNL → LIH

took off 8:50 PM HT · landed 9:09 PM HT (scheduled 8:33 PM HT → 9:27 PM HT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to LIH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4195 · HNL → LIH

Odds over time

How late did it get to LIH?