Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 41
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 41 · TYS → DAL
departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 4:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 0.12 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.