Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 4205 · PIT → SRQ
departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 6:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.