Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 426
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 426 · ELP → DAL
departs 10:45 AM MT · arrives 1:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.