Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 432 LANDED 9:08 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 432 · AUS → TPA

took off 6:07 AM CT · landed 9:08 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 432 · AUS → TPA

Odds over time