Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4349
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 4349 · BWI → PBI
departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
3pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.10 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.