WN 4418 · DAL → MDW

took off 11:21 AM CT · expected to land 12:59 PM CT (scheduled 10:47 AM CT → 1:14 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.34 in

MDW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4418 · DAL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?