Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 449 LANDED 7:52 AM PT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 449 · OAK → ONT

took off 6:57 AM PT · landed 7:52 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Saturdays in October are usually busier than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OAK are usually not late

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 449 · OAK → ONT

Odds over time