Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 451 LANDED 3:03 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 451 · DEN → BHM

took off 11:58 AM MT · landed 3:03 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 451 · DEN → BHM

Odds over time