WN 4580 · PHL → MDW

took off 7:59 AM ET · landed 8:42 AM CT (scheduled 7:56 AM ET → 9:09 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4580 · PHL → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?