Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4588 LANDED 12:54 AM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 4588 · BWI → ALB

took off 12:11 AM ET · landed 12:54 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12am departures from BWI are often late

↑ Arrivals into ALB at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ ALB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

ALB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4588 · BWI → ALB

Odds over time