Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4622
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 4622 · BNA → GSP
departs 10:05 AM CT · arrives 12:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at GSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSP?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at BNA that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at GSP that day
↓
Arrivals into GSP at that hour are usually not late
↓
GSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.14 in
GSP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.