Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 468 LANDED 7:22 PM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 468 · AUS → HRL

took off 6:29 PM CT · landed 7:22 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at HRL that day

↑ 6pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HRL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

HRL (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 468 · AUS → HRL

Odds over time