Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4743
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 4743 · HOU → HRL
departs 8:25 AM CT · arrives 9:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into HRL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.