WN 4749 · JAX → DEN

took off 3:19 PM ET · landed 4:40 PM MT (scheduled 3:11 PM ET → 5:12 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at JAX that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from JAX are often late

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip3.92 in

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4749 · JAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?