Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4788
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 4788 · DAL → HRL
departs 9:20 AM CT · arrives 10:45 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into HRL at that hour are usually not late
↓
9am departures from DAL are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.36 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.