tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 478 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

WN 478 · TUL → PHX

departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 3:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.