Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4827 LANDED 10:11 AM ET, ~20 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 4827 · DAL → LGA

took off 6:13 AM CT · landed 10:11 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DAL are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

LGA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4827 · DAL → LGA

Odds over time