Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 482 LANDED 9:34 AM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 482 · PVD → MDW

took off 8:20 AM ET · landed 9:34 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from PVD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 482 · PVD → MDW

Odds over time