Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 485
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 485 · DAL → PDX
departs 7:40 AM CT · arrives 9:40 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Thu 10/1 46%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from DAL are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.30 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.