Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4879 LANDED 4:19 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 4879 · BNA → PHL

took off 1:54 PM CT · landed 4:19 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4879 · BNA → PHL

Odds over time