WN 4894 · HOU → HRL

departs 2:32 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HRL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↑ 2pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at HRL that day

↓ Arrivals into HRL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.36 in

HRL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4894 · HOU → HRL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HRL?