WN 5030 · HOU → ABQ

took off 10:20 PM CT · landed 11:05 PM MT (scheduled 7:42 PM CT → 9:04 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ABQ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 5030 · HOU → ABQ

Odds over time

How late did it get to ABQ?