Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5063
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 5063 · MCO → HOU
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 8:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 36 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.