Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 513
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 513 · BNA → ECP
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 24%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ECP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.14 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,233 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.