WN 544 · DEN → BUF

took off 11:19 AM MT · landed 3:49 PM ET (scheduled 11:06 AM MT → 4:25 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BUF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 544 · DEN → BUF

Odds over time

How late did it get to BUF?