Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 554 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

WN 554 · MDW → ELP

departs 12:15 PM CT · arrives 2:15 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 554 · MDW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?