WN 656 · AUS → ELP

took off 7:07 AM CT · landed 7:17 AM MT (scheduled 6:57 AM CT → 7:50 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ELP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ ELP is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

ELP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 656 · AUS → ELP

Odds over time

How late did it get to ELP?