WN 747 · BNA → TYS

took off 10:15 AM CT · landed 11:42 AM ET (scheduled 9:59 AM CT → 12:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TYS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at TYS that day

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ 9am departures from BNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.89 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 747 · BNA → TYS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TYS?