Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 790
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 790 · TYS → MCO
departs 12:30 PM ET · arrives 2:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TYS that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.50 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.