WN 8636 · DEN → COS

took off 1:43 PM MT · landed 2:02 PM MT (scheduled 12:46 PM MT → 1:39 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to COS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Arrivals into COS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

COS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8636 · DEN → COS

Odds over time

How late did it get to COS?