WN 913 · GCM → MCO

departs 1:02 PM EST · arrives 4:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GCM

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GCM (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 913 · GCM → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?