Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 931
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 931 · PIT → MCO
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±7 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.